Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 6.817963 7.527331 8.314393 9.259301 10.372177 11.653005 1.325607e+01
2025-02-09 5.869692 6.851260 8.037913 9.607804 11.677681 14.387229 1.833814e+01
2025-02-16 5.203527 6.287237 7.670905 9.624379 12.414710 16.442537 2.310701e+01
2025-02-23 4.814997 5.980306 7.535586 9.854898 13.409787 19.030347 2.958973e+01
2025-03-02 4.342886 5.491597 7.070244 9.513545 13.448848 20.102469 3.391900e+01
2025-03-09 3.997036 5.132791 6.733776 9.294664 13.610044 21.384566 3.923682e+01
2025-03-16 3.742701 4.874557 6.507956 9.203136 13.947790 23.058169 4.634744e+01
2025-03-23 3.617965 4.788069 6.522603 9.490286 14.995947 26.444161 6.025447e+01
2025-03-30 3.376177 4.508064 6.211423 9.186717 14.878469 27.299951 6.759809e+01
2025-04-06 3.158010 4.247905 5.908734 8.860630 14.657542 27.856265 7.455913e+01
2025-04-13 2.962927 4.010359 5.623532 8.533776 14.380545 28.204178 8.124892e+01
2025-04-20 2.835146 3.868226 5.481293 8.448527 14.592510 29.882872 9.582252e+01
2025-04-27 2.819063 3.909290 5.660138 9.014157 16.423040 37.111460 1.569863e+02
2025-05-04 2.755933 3.873361 5.710481 9.353664 17.874397 44.391928 2.588905e+02
2025-05-11 2.647529 3.755553 5.607125 9.369856 18.543317 49.570570 3.912284e+02
2025-05-18 2.579121 3.698071 5.603932 9.591379 19.818865 58.335096 7.581624e+02
2025-05-25 2.441021 3.515259 5.359168 9.263334 19.492303 59.868926 1.024270e+03
2025-06-01 2.330119 3.372358 5.177415 9.052869 19.464690 62.983296 1.615510e+03
2025-06-08 2.243907 3.266724 5.056955 8.964834 19.787664 68.395150 3.470569e+03
2025-06-15 2.208783 3.246503 5.094505 9.240973 21.332617 83.131941 6.759922e+04
2025-06-22 2.109531 3.109458 4.899385 8.949040 20.947459 84.888181 2.634488e+07
2025-06-29 2.014271 2.975426 4.702680 8.635252 20.429249 85.368048 NaN
2025-07-06 1.924743 2.848003 4.512293 8.320516 19.852989 85.059794 NaN